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Business opportunities from defense import offsets

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Defense purchases from abroad attract what is called the offset clause. Basically, the seller in deals where the total cost of acquisition exceeds Rs. 300 Crore has to invest back or purchase from the country 30-50% of the value of the deal. But it is not as simple as that.

Offset is applicable only to the foreign component of the deal. Also, the procedure for selection of Indian entities through whom the offsets are routed is not trivial.

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With several big-ticket defense procurement deals such as the one to procure 126 fighter aircraft for the Indian Air Force on the anvil, the issue of offsets has attracted attention, but not enough from smaller Indian businesses, particularly on how they can participate in and benefit from the offset requirements.

This article attempts to do just that. We also analyze in detail the implications of the offset clause on the 126 fighter aircraft deal.

What are defense offsets?
Defense offsets are counter trade obligations imposed by an importing country upon the Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) that mandate the transfer of critical technologies and production of components (that may or may not be related to the said deal per se), as part of big defense procurement contracts. In fact, India is not the only country to have an offset clause. Some countries that have an offset clause on defense purchases do not even insist that investments in offsets be limited to defense, in a bid to develop generic technologies even in civilian businesses. India, though, obligates that offset related investments be strictly limited to defense.

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Big ticket Purchases

No of units likely to be procured Total expected cost of acquisition (US$ billion) Total expected offset generation (US$ billion)

AIRCRAFT
Medium Multi-Role Combat Aircraft
Maritime Multimission Aircraft
C130J
Long Range Maritime Reconnaissance and Anti-Submarine Warfare
Medium Range Maritime Reconnaissance and Anti-Submarine Warfare

126
13
6
8
8

10.8
0.9
1.19
2
1.5

4
0.3
0.4
0.6
0.45

HELICOPTERS
Light Utility Helicopter
Attack
VVIP

Seahawk

Anti-Submarine Warfare

197
22
6

80

16

2.3
0.7
0.4

1.5

0.66

1.15
0.23
0.13

0.5

0.22

WARSHIPS/SUBMARINES
Scorpene Submarines
Frigates
6
3
3.4
1.7
1.1
0.57

How does the seller meet the offset obligation ?
Offset obligations maybe discharged in any one of four ways.

By a direct purchase of, or executing export orders for, defense products and components manufactured by, or services provided by Indian defense industries

By direct foreign investment in Indian defense industries

By direct foreign investment in Indian organizations engaged in research in defense R & D or

By creation of offset programs by foreign vendors in anticipation of future obligations. (For details, see box: Meeting Offset Obligations)

The 126 aircraft MMRCA deal
Six foreign OEMs are in the fray for the US$10.8 billion Medium Multi-Role Combat Aircraft (MMRCA) deal under which the Indian Air Force (IAF) will get 126 state-of-the-art fighter jets to make up for its aging fleet, most of which has lived out its time and is due for a phase-out. The first eighteen out of the proposed 126 aircraft would be procured under the 'Buy' mode and would be fully operational on delivery. The remaining 108 would be brought in with successive degrees of indigenization, that is, technology would be successively transferred during the course of the acquisition which is likely to begin in 2014 and carry on till 2024 (see table).

126 aircraft MMRCA deal

26 aircraft MMRCA deal
Cost of System at US$60 million per aircraft (excluding cost of engine):

Cost of Support, Spares etc:

Therefore, total Cost of Acquisition (excluding cost of engines)

Cost per engine (purchased separately from different vendor)

Assuming the IAF settles for single engine aircraft, then, cost of 126 engines

Therefore the total cost of acquisition (assuming single-engine aircraft are procured)

 

US$ 6.1 billion


US$ 4.1 billion


US$ 10.2 billion



US$ 4-5 million per unit



US$ 600 million


US$ 10.8 billion

Likely schedule of acquisition of the aircraft

Year

2014-2017

2018-2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Total

Teerefore amount on which offset is applicable

Offset amount at 50 %

No of aircraft




18

18

18

18

18

18

18

% of Foreign
Component

 

100

80

60

40

10

10

10

 

8.1 billions


4 billions

Total Cost if Acquisition of Foreign Component
(US$ million)


1080

864

648

432

108

108

108

3.4 billions

Six major players viz. EADS, MiG, Lockheed Martin, SAAB, Boeing and Dassault are in the fray While MiG, Lockheed Martin and SAAB have pitched in for single engine aircraft, the others hope to supply twin-engine variants. If the IAF chooses to go in for the single-engine variant, the government would have to shell out US$ 10.8 billion, out of which US$ 8 billion would go towards the foreign component, generating an offset business to the tune of US$ 4 billion.

Sources however indicate that the IAF is in favor of the twin-engine version out of stable of any one vendor and that some smart negotiating could limit the deal to about US$ 8-10 billion. Informed sources also indicate that strategic reasons might eventually force the IAF to go in for a combination of single and twin-engine aircraft, in a way that the cost of acquisition remains nearly the same. Most OEMs already have existing relationships with some Indian players, almost all of whom are understood to be lobbying hard for a share of the pie.

THE BIG TICKET COMPANY-COMPANY RELATIONSHIPS:

EADS (twin-engine aircraft): Samtel Display Systems (SDS), HAL, L&T, Infotech Enterprises,Tata (EADS is known to have signed MoUs with nearly 50 Indian companies)
MiG (single-engine aircraft):
HAL
Boeing (twin-engine aircraft):
HCL Tata, L&T, Infotech Enterprises, Satyam, Bharat Forge (Boeing is known to have signed MoUs with at least 37 Indian companies)
Lockheed Martin (single-engine aircraft):
TCS, Wipro
SAAB (single-engine aircraft):
Tech Mahindra (for the Army's BMS program)
Dassault (twin-engine aircraft):
Infotech Enterprises

Why are offsets important to an arms importer like India? How will offsets in general influence Indian defense industry which is still in its nascent stage?
The Indian defense industry is nascent and lacks the domain expertise or the scale to become a viable domestic supplier for the country’s growing needs for cutting edge technologies required to keep the strategic balance of power in the region. The raison’detre for offsets therefore is to stimulate growth in the Indian defense establishment, be it in R&D or production, both in the public and the private sectors. It is hoped that the business generated from the offset obligations will help government and private defense equipment manufacturers attain critical mass and this will eventually lead to domestic capabilities that may be harnessed for import substitution. Further, it could also help India tap the lucrative global defense market, thus far out of bounds barring some back-end operations that are now outsourced to Indian IT players. Business generation will also help the country develop a competitive defense export market, just as ISRO has managed to do in space exploration.



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