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Funding in volatile markets

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When you’re upto your neck in hot water, sing like a kettle. But what can startups do to boost the confidence of investors when the hot water has singed their skins off?

Macbeth, startup-CEO from the Shakespearean era was doing just fine until he met three bears on the road. They hailed him as the Fallen One.

He took no heed and went on messing up his capital structure in a bull-market running purely on the steam of hubris—pride and greed. Hence, when the fall did come, the bears were sitting right on his head. The term is Bear-Stearned.

A market-crash happening at any point in history and at any place has propagated either a ripple effect throughout global markets or has atleast sent after-shocks. The story is uncannily same everywhere. The characters could run the gamut of Bear Stearns to Northern Rock. Big fish are floundering and the cash-crunch net is such that the holes might not allow even smaller fish to escape. Investor's are not looking to fish in such troubled waters. Or are they?

Market turmoil and investment deals
The market crash has had unforeseen consequences on the funding opportunities available for startups at various stages. The ilk of investors affected directly from the dipping stock prices are angels, high networth individuals (HNIs) and those investing in equity funds. The investment sentiment is varied even across these categories. Angels and HNIs who earned their money from the exploding real estate and infrastructure sectors are now stuck with stocks that are trading at or below par. Whereas a few angels are adamantly biding the wee until the Sensex touches stability around 18,000-19,000, a few are seeking fresh grounds to invest. These fresh grounds are not new stocks at the moment but startups running on sturdy business models and involving lesser risks.

“What is happening in the market is a temporary phase. Angels are still looking for sturdy startups to invest in. A few may be somewhat cautious as to investing in new ideas, but as a whole, angel investing is green in the country,” says Pravin Gandhi of Seedfund, a veteran angel investor of the country.

DARE/statistics
PE and M&As
As ascertained by a recent study, this year January alone saw 56 M&A deals and 60 PE deals, worth $3.01 billion and $2.05 billion, respectively; that is, 116 deals worth $5 billion for a single month. The last time this happened was exactly a year ago when a total of 101 deals were concluded in the same month. Analysts claim that the deal rate averaged out to around one a day. A few large PE deals involving over $100 million were those of Edelweiss Capital, Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services, Ballarpur Paper Holdings, Jaiprakash Power Ventures, Akruti City, Peninsula Land and Vatika. The 3% equity sale of Reliance Entertainment to George Soros, the global investor, for $100 million falls within the same spectrum, except for the reported $5 billion that Soros valued it at!

Private equity funds are getting fatigued. PE deals are still happening, but not on the scale that they used to during the market’s prime. This is partly because most PE firms in India are based in the US, where they acquire their funds from. In the event of the US investment system breaking down, funds have started to dry up. HNIs, who have been known to invest in such funds, have also stopped lending to them in keeping with the market sentiment. For the moment, there are no more fresh pastures for them.



Comments (2)Add Comment
Right Time for startups entering markets that are getting consolidated
written by Sandeep Naidu, December 20, 2008
Time is right for the old value business with a new face. This is the time where the new startups should focus not on new ideas (since investors will be averse to new ideas) but rather focus of new businesses that take advantage of consolidating the dispersed and grief stricken businesses to raise a cost advantage that will steer these businesses out of the woes of the bear market.The decisions should be strategic in terms of longer planning and assured growth without the risk of focusing on a single market space/vertical.
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Sensible Angels
written by Yadav Chandna, October 15, 2008
This does appear to be the best time for angels. Startups are going to take time to go public hence; hence time is on their side. They would do well to focus on projects that lead to cost reduction through innovative technologies or, alternatively, assured incremental multi stream revenues through innovative techniques such as carbon credits rather than be industry specific. The present turmoil should encourage highly disruptive technologies. Most large US corporates are scouting for such disruptive technologies and are willing to invest large funds into them. They feel they have no other choice.

Yadav Chandna
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